This coming Saturday we'll see exceptionally talented Filipino Mark Anthony Barriga (9-0, 1) take on American Carlos Licona (13-0, 2) in a bout for the vacant IBF Minimumweight title, which was vacated earlier this year by Hiroto Kyoguchi. The match up looks likely to be a highly technical affair between two of the more purely skilled little men in the sport, and despite having "12 round decision" written all over it, it does look almost certain to be a show case of boxing brains, skills, speed and technique.
Interestingly the UK bookies have priced up the bout, at least in terms of the "To Win" market, and have made Barriga the slight favourite for the contest.
The 25 year old Filipino, who is making his US debut, has been priced at 8/13 across multiple betting companies in the UK. Licona on the other hand is the under-dog, and has been priced at 13/10 with one book makers, and 5/4 with others. As for the draw, that's available at 18/1.
It should be noted that these odds are accurate at time of writing and are subject to change, especially with the weigh in taking place later today.
Related - Barriga looks to announce himself on world stage, faces Licona for IBF title
Unbeaten Kyrgyzstan born Russian Dmitry Bivol (14-0, 11) [дмитрий бивол] will be returning to the ring later today, to make his next defense of the WBA Light Heavyweight title. In the opposite corner will be Haitian born Canadian veteran Jean Pascal (33-5-1-1, 20).
The bout has been widely viewed as a mismatch in favour of the champion, and that is shown in the odds for the bout, with Bivol priced as a 1/16 favourite. Pascal on the other hand is available as high as 21/2 with one company, whilst others have him around 1/10. The draw is 33/1 with a number of bookies, showing how unlikely and un-competitive they view the contest.
Not only is Bivol strongly favoured to win but he's expected to do so by stoppage, with odds of 1/3 available on him to score a KO, TKO or DQ win. The odds on Bivol claiming a decsion are 4/1. Pascal by stoppage is available at 18/1, though is more widely available at 16/1. A decision win for the challenger is available as high as 28/1, but most have priced it at 25/1.
Given the price on a Bivol stoppage it'll be little surprise that the bout isn't expected to go the distance, and is 2/11 to not go 12 rounds, and 4/1 to go to the final bell. With different bookies carrying different "length of bout" markets. We won't go into all of those, but it does seem like they are expecting a stoppage between rounds 5 and 10.
Related - Can Bivol over-come Pascal in one of the final HBO shows? (Preview)
This coming Saturday we'll see Chinese fighter Meng Fanlong (13-0, 8) [孟繁龙] make his first defense of the IBF Inter-Continental Light Heavyweight title, as he takes on Englishman Frank Buglioni (22-3-1, 16) in the wonderful principality of Monaco. At the time of writing the Chinese is the under-dog for that bout, but is regarded as a very live one by the British bookies, who have their countryman as the favourite.
The English fighter is currently best priced at 4/7 to win the bout, with other bookies having him at 1/2. The Chinese fighter on the other hand is widely available at 13/8, with others having him at 6/4 to pick up the win. The best odds on the draw are currently 25/1, though some bookies have got the draw as low as 20/1.
At the moment very few book makers have got odds up for "method of victory", though they are available if you look around. The odds on a Buglioni stoppage are 11/8, like playing on the idea that Meng has been dropped by a much lesser puncher than the Englishman. A decision win for Buglioni is 11/5. On the other hand a win inside the distance from Meng is 10/3 whilst a decision win for Meng is 6/1.
Interestingly this bout does have a "To go the Distance" market available. The bout going the distance is available at 11/8 whilst the bout concluding early is available at 8/13
We're expecting to see some shift in the odds as we head to fight time, though these are all accurate at the time of writing (9:27am, UK time on November 23rd)
This coming Saturday in Monaco fight fans will be able to see Olympic gold medal winner Daniyar Yeleussinov (4-0, 2) [Данияр Маратұлы Елеусінов] battle against Nicaraguan foe Marcos Mojica (16-2-2, 12) in an 8 round contest at Welterweight. On paper it looks to be a good step in the right direction for the Kazakh, taking on an ambitious fighter with a bit of power. The bookies however see the bout as another mismatch on Yeleussinov's march to professional success.
The Kazakh has been widely priced as a 1/100 favourite, whilst Mojica is a huge 16/1 to score the upset and the draw is even bigger at 33/1. Essentially the bout is a foregone conclusion in he eyes of the bookmakers who see the bout as being little more than a work out for the rising Kazakh.
Whilst there is no value at all in the "To win" market there is actually some potential interest in the method of victory market. The Kazakh is 1/2 to win by stoppage and 6/4 to win by decision, with most of the UK bookmakers. A Mojica win by stoppage is a massive 20/1 whilst the Nicaraguan taking a decision is available as high as 60/1, a freakishly high price.
The weigh in for the bout will take place later today and it will be shown on Sky Sports in the UK and DAZN in the US as Yeleussinov looks to improve his standing in the sport and build on his impress performance in October against Matt Dougherty
Tomorrow is a busy day for Asian fight fans with action taking place across a number of countries. Those include the Philippines, where two former world title challengers face off in a very attractive match up, with both looking to move towards a second world title shot.
That match up will see Melvin Jerusalem (13-2, 8) battle with Toto Landero (10-3-2, 2) in a bout that has the ingredients of a really compelling bout.
In the UK this bout hasn't been priced up for gamblers, but it has been in Poland, with STS putting the bout on their list of fights that can be gambled on. We realise most reading this aren't from Poland, but the odds are still interesting, and show the perceived favourite and under-dog.
STS have listed Jerusalem as the clear favourite, at odds of 1.25, the same as 1/4 in the UK or -400 in the US. Landero on the other hand is is 3.2, the same as 11/5 in the UK or +220 in the US.
STS have also priced the up the length of the bout, setting the over/under at 7.5 rounds. The over is seen as the much more likely outcome, being priced at 1.22, the equivalent of 11/50 for UK gamblers or -454.55 for those in the US. The under is 3.4 using the decimal style of odds, which is 12/5 for the traditionalists and +240 for Americans.
Related - Jerusalem and Landero battle in brilliant all Filipino clash! (Preview)
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