On Saturday night we saw a WBC Featherweight world title eliminator that had former world title challenger Tugstsogt Nyambayar (12-1, 9) [Нямбаярын Тогсцогт] score his latest win, as he narrowly over-came the previously unbeaten Cobia Breedy (15-1, 5) in a very entertaining back and forth battle on Showtime.
Going in we did expect this to be a good one, a fun one, and an exciting one and it delivered. Thought it was much, much more competitive than we expected.
The opening moments saw them go straight to work, completely forgoing the typical feeling out process. The round was an exciting one that Breedy seemed to be edging until seconds before the bell, when he was dropped. The knockdown secured Nyambayar a 10-8 round, in what was a pretty clear 3-point swing.
The second round saw Nyamabayar score a second knockdown early on and it seemed like he was going to blow out Breedy early on. To his credit however Breedy seemed to regroup very well after this second knockdown, and by the end of the round he looked clear headed and back with it.
With a 20-16 lead secured after 2 rounds this looked like a mismatch but then Breedy changed his gameplan. He began to use the ring a lot, make the most of his speed and out work Nyamabayar, who was made to look slow and defensively open. Breedy was landing clean jabs and solid right hands, and whilst they didn't hurt Nyambayar they were landing and catching the eye as he began a real fight back. That was helped by Nyamabayar essentially sleep walking through a few rounds as Breedy closed the gap on the scorecards.
Sadly for Breedy he made a stupid mistake in blowing his nose, causing his left eye to swell up, just as he was starting to build momentum. The swelling of the eye proved to be a major issue and hindered his sight notably. He was however lucky that Nyamabayar didn't hammer the eye, which could, very seriously, have caused the bout to be stopped.
With Breedy fighting one eyed and with Nyamabayar's team telling him things were closer we began to get glimpses of what the Mongolian was capable of. The early stages of rounds 7 and 10 were great from Nyamabayar, who went through the gears, showed some intensity, let his combinations go and looked great. Sadly though we only saw glimpses of what he could do, before he dropped his pace again. Had he kept it up there was, again, a very real chance he could have stopped Breedy. Instead however Nyamabayar's pace dropped and Breedy regrouped, and got back to out working the Mongolian.
Breedy managed to finish well and had notable success in the late rounds, though sadly for him the early hole he found himself in, after the two knockdowns, seemed to be too much overall. He had been valiant, he had given a great account of himself, showed his toughness, his heart, desire, speed, skill and movement, but the knockdowns looked like the difference.
After 12 rounds we went to the scorecards and bizarrely the first card read out was a 115-111 in favour of Breedy, a card that didn't really match up at all with what we had seen. We though Breedy had given an amazing account of himself, and made it close, but we couldn't see a way to have him winning. Thankfully however the other two scorecards, 114-112 and 114-113, both went in favour of Nyamabayar to give him the split decision.
If we're being totally honest Nyambayar deserved the win, the knockdowns left him with a big advantage and whilst Breedy did deplete it, he didn't do enough to totally over-turn it. However we were left more impressed by Breedy, who showed a lot to like in a massive step up, than Nyambayar, who started well, showed flashes of brilliance, but really failed to keep it up.
We know Nyambayar is good, but once again he has struggled with lateral movement, shown a lack of intensity, and essentially fallen to sleep in a bout. He started slowly against Gary Russell Jr earlier this year, and it cost him, and he almost gave this away with a lack of activity. Fingers crossed his team make him realise that he needs to let his hands go! He's a stunning combination puncher, a very heavy handed fighter, but someone who struggles to fight at top gear for more than a few seconds at a time.
As for Breedy, please let us see him again!
Later today we will see former world title challenger Tugstsogt Nyambayar (11-1, 9) [Нямбаярын Тогсцогт] look to bounce back from his sole defeat, to Gary Russell Jr, as he takes on the unbeaten Cobia Breedy (15-0, 5) on Showtime.
For people looking at this bout from a gambling perspective it's probably no surprise to see that the once beaten Mongolian fighter is the clear betting favourite, with UK bookies having him best priced at 1/7, and other pricing him as unenticingly as 1/14. Given his amateur pedigree and professional performances it's what we would expect, despite his loss last time out.
Breedy on the other hand is widely available at 5/1 though he's best priced at a huge 13/2 for those picking the unheralded under-dog.
As for the draw that's typically 25/1, though can be found at 28/1 for those interested.
As for the method of victory market, that's firmly behind a win inside the distance by Nyamabar, who is 8/13 to win by TKO/KO or DQ. A decision win for the Mongolian is as high as 9/4. On the other hand Breedy has odds of 12/1 to win by TKO/KO or DQ and the same price for him to take home a decision.
As for how long this will go there's two different markets here. One is is 6.5 rounds, with the under priced at 10/11 and the over priced at 4/5. The other is 7.5 rounds, with the under again 10/11 and the over at 4/5.
The WBC Convention is rather notable event for a lot of reasons including the clarity the WBC give in regards to their world title situations. Here we're going to take a look at this situations directly affect Asian fighters, as per the clarity given by the WBC...or not as the case may be in some divisions.
The highest division mentioned is the Light Heavyweight situation, where we'll see WBC and IBF champion Arthur Beterbiev (15-0, 15) defending against China's Fanlong Meng (16-0, 10) [孟繁龙] in September, in an IBF mandatory. The winner of that will then have Jean Pascal (35-6-1-1, 20) as their WBC mandatory challenger.
The next highest is way down at Featherweight, where we now know that the scheduled bout between Tugstsogt Nyambayar (11-1, 9) [Нямбаярын Тогсцогт] and Eduardo Ramirez (23-2-3, 10) has become a final eliminator, with the winner then becoming the mandatory challenger. This would mean that if the Mongolian wins he could end with a second shot at WBC Featherweight champion Gary Russell Jr (31-1, 18), who beat him earlier this year.
At Bantamweight Nonito Donaire (40-6, 26) is the mandatory challenger for WBC Bantamweight champion Nordine Oubaali (17-0, 12), with their bout currently scheduled for a December date. Following that bout it's unclear what the situation is in regards to eliminators.
At Super Flyweight Srisaket Sor Rungvisai (48-5-1, 41) [ศรีสะเกษ นครหลวงโปรโมชั่น] is the mandatory challenger for Juan Francisco Estrada (40-3, 27), though it's unclear on when that bout will be possible given travel restrictions and Estrada's next bout is a voluntary defense regardless. We suspect we won't see this trilogy come to an end until 2021 at earliest.
Current WBC Light Flyweight champion Kenshiro Teraji (17-0, 10) [寺地 拳四朗] has no mandatory set at the moment, and the WBC will announce a world title eliminator in the near future. The division is seemingly one of the ones that will be most affected by travel restrictions given that many of the top contenders currently aren't able to travel to Japan, and that's an issue not just affect Kenshiro and the WBC title but the division at large and this could mean Kenshiro defends his title against a domestic opponent later in the year.
Long reigning WBC Minimumweight champion Wanheng Menayothin (54-0, 18) [วันเฮง มีนะโยธิน] is able to have a voluntary defense next, with the WBC hinting that could be in September, before an eliminator will be held to decide the next mandatory challenger. As with Light Flyweight this is a division that could be massively hampered by the global situation,
Although the convention has certainly helped with some clarity as you can tell there is still a lot that is unclear, especially in the lower weight classes.
Earlier this year we saw Mongolian hopeful Tugstsogt Nyambayar (11-1, 9) [Нямбаярын Тогсцогт] come up short in his first world title fight, losing a clear but competitive decision to WBC Featherweight champion Gary Russel Jr in a mandatory title fight. Since then Nyamabar, like many fighters, has been inactive due to the situation that essentially shut down boxing worldwide for several months.
Now it appears that Nyamabar had his return to ring set for, with a bout between himself and Mexican Eduardo Ramirez (23-2-3, 10) set for September 19th at the Mohegan Sun Casino in Uncasville, Connecticut.
For Nyamabayar the bout is a really good one for his return and a win against Ramirez will put him right back in the world title mix, as he chases a second shot at world honours. He was a clear loser to Russell, but did manage to build his success in the later stages, and it seems like the sort of bout where Nyamabayar will have learned a lot in defeat.
Ramirez is probably best known for his 2017 bout with Lee Selby, in which he failed to make weight for a bout at the then IBF Featherweight champion. Since then he has gone 3-1 (3) with his most notable result in that stretch being a loss to Claudio Marrero in June 2019. As with the Mongolian the bout will see him Ramirez trying to get himself into the mix for a second world title fight.
The bout is set to feature on a show broadcast by Showtime, who will be airing a contest between Erickson Lubin (22-1, 16) and Terrell Gausha (21-1-1, 10) as the main event.
Although not specifically Asian boxing news American Welterweight hopeful Jaron "Boots" Ennis (25-0, 23) is also set to be on this card, in what will be his first bout since beating Kazakh fighter Bakhtiyar Eyubov in January, though his opponent hasn't yet been named.
Later today we'll see WBC Featherweight champion Gary Russell Jr (30-1, 18) defending his title against Mongolian fighter Tugstsogt Nyambayar (11-0, 9) [Нямбаярын Тогсцогт], who enters the bout at the mandatory challenger.
The bout will see Nyamabar look to become the second ever Mongolian world champion, following in the footsteps of former 2-weight champion Lakva Sim. Sadly for the Mongolian fighter he's the clear under-dog here, and is best priced at 7/2 to pick up the victory. The champion is priced at around 1/4 to pick up the victory. The draw is available at 22/1.
In terms of the "Method" of victory, the UK book makers are expecting a decision win for Russell Jr, with odds of 4/11 widely available, and 2/5 being the best available. A stoppage by Russell is available at 7/1. Interestingly Nyambayar is also 7/1 to win by stoppage and is 15/2 to win by decision.
Given that neither man is expected to stop the other it'll be no surprise to learn the bout is expected to go the distance, with odds of 2/9 on the bout going the scheduled 12 rounds. The bout is 7/2 to not go 12 rounds.
Related - King Tug gets world title fight at last! But can he win?
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