In the sport of boxing it's usually the main event that looks like the best and most interesting contest on a show. On March 8th however we think the best fight on offer is actually buried well down the card yet gives us everything we could possibly want in a fight, despite their being no title, of any type, on the line.
Whilst the main event is an interesting contest and sees Saul "Canelo" Alvarez (42-1-1, 30) fighting Alfredo Angulo (22-3, 18) in an all Mexican affair their is a sense of of inevitability about it. It just feels like a bout set up to get Canelo another win on his record and put his sole loss, a decision at the hands of Floyd Mayweather, behind him. This feeling is shown in the betting with Canelo priced as a 1/7 favourite in a bout many feel is a mismatch, albeit it one with potential fireworks.
For us the better bout is the one that features the wonderfully skilled Jorge Linares (35-3, 23) taking on the teak tough and ridiculously brave Nihito Arakawa (24-3-1, 16). Whilst some have commented that this is a mismatch we have to admit that we view this as very close to a 50-50 match up and potentially a fight of the year.
Talking about fight of the year, it wouldn't be the first time either man has been on the losing side in bout of that quality. In 2011 Linares was on the losing end of a sensational come from behind stoppage against Antonio DeMarco in a bout he had dominated for the vast part. Last year it was Arakawa's turn to be involved in a barn burner as he took on the massive punching Omar Figueroa and although he lost widely on the cards he put up a great effort and pushed Figueroa harder than any other fighter.
With what we saw in those fight of the year candidates we can safely say that these two men are completely different. Linares was a gorgeous silky combination puncher who was in and out with sharp shots, though unfortunately for him his face seemed to damage very easily and he eventually ran out of steam before being stopped in round 11. As for Arakawa he was crude, limited in terms of his boxing though refused to ever take a step backwards and walked through an torrent of abuse in an attempt to grind down Figueroa. Both men found themselves coming up short but both had impressed for different reasons.
Of course it wasn't just their fight of the year candidates that showed how different they were, it's actually been their whole careers.
Linares, born in Venezuela though fighting out of the Teiken Gym in Japan, was tipped for the top from an early age. This was due to his excellent success in the amateurs where he ran up a reported record of 151-5 (100)* and won various national titles.
The amateur success of Linares's was followed by success early in his professional career. He made his debut when he was just 17 and by the age of 21 he had already won the WBC Featherweight title by stopping Oscar Larios.
Just 16 months after winning his first world title Linares added a second, claiming the WBA Super Featherweight title with a stoppage over Whyber Garcia. This victory had moved Linares's to 26-0 (17), he was just 23 years old and deserved the nickname "El Niño de Oro" or "The Golden Boy". Unfortunately though Linares's career would quickly come tumbling down and just 2 fights later he suffered his first loss, being stopped in a round by Juan Carlos Salgado. The loss, a major upset, really told us a lot more about Linares than we really expected. It was suppose to be an easy win though he was stopped in just 73 seconds and the loss provoked some to ask questions about just how tough, both physically and mentally, Linares was.
Since the loss to Salgado we've seen Linares's career resemble a roller coaster with some notable ups and some major downs. Unfortunately for Linares, who has won 8 of 10 bouts since the Salgado contest, it's the lows that stand out with stoppages coming to both DeMarco, as mentioned above, and Sergio Thompson. He's still as talented in terms of pure boxing as anyone else on the planet but his lack of durability has been a major downfall and prevented him from having the Hall of Fame career it seemed he was destined for.
Whilst Linares was always expected to have success the same couldn't quite be said for Arakawa who really struggled to make much of a name as an amateur and went professional without much expectation on his shoulders. Amazingly Arakawa managed to quickly become an over-achiever in the professional ranks and within 9 fights he had become the All-Japan Rookie of the year in the Lightweight division.
Arakawa early career success had a minor blip as he dropped a close decision to Yoshitaka Kato in his 11th bout. It really was a blip and just 2 years later Arakawa would come close to claiming the OPBF title, scoring a majority draw with Randy Suico.
It wasn't until 2010 that Arakawa would claim his first title, the Japanese title, as he narrowly over-came Akihiro Kondo. After defending it thrice he would vacate to instead fight for, and win, the OPBF title with a victory over Jay Solmiano. After several defenses of that title Arakawa again stepped up and travelled to Mexico to fight the very highly ranked Daniel Estrada. Unfortunately Arakawa found himself on the wrong of a technical decision against Estrada after Estrada's eye was swollen shut. Although Arakawa lost the bout was shrouded in controversy with many feeling the swelling had come from punches and not the accidental fouls which were blamed for the damage. A rematch was ordered though Estrada decided not to fight Arakawa who instead got to fight Figueroa in their memorable contest.
Although Arakawa wasn't expected to have major success he has done incredibly well for himself and become a staple in the world rankings. In fact going in to this bout he is higher ranked by the WBC than Linares, though he is unranked by any of the other organisations.
Of course what makes this so interesting isn't the history of the two men, it's the styles and mentality of the men involved. Linares is a pure stylist who relies on speed, skills and movement to win bouts. He does have respectable power when he sits on punches though seems happier to box and move which he does in a wonderful and very pleasing manner. As for Arakawa he's a bullish fighter who lacks the well refined skills of Linares though makes up for that with a true "never say die" attitude. Arakawa could be 11 rounds down though would still believe he could win and will not stop trying until the final bell.
It's that that really makes this bout so great. On paper it should be a shut out to Linares, his skills are that much better than those of Arakawa that it should be a mismatch though the frailties of Linares and the desire of Arakawa means that this bout isn't clear cut at all and infact it could swing at any moment.
We can't deny that Linares will be expected to to open up a big lead on the cards. He will almost certainly take the first 7 or 8 rounds without any problems at all, though the final rounds are where we expect to see things get very interesting. The pressure and toughness of Arakawa could well grind down Linares as DeMarco did in 2011, it may not be the "expected" result by many experts but it's certainly a big possibility and it's the outcome we're going for.
We think that Linares, after winning the first 8 or 9 rounds will slow, tire and eventually be stopped either in round 11 or 12 by Arakawa who will likely book himself a rematch with Omar Figueroa in the process.
*Record taken from Teiken's website, boxrec however report an 89-5 amateur record for Linares
(Image courtesy of http://boxingnews.jp)