Tomorrow fight fans will see IBF champion Jerwin Ancajas (26-1-1, 17) defending his title against Japanese challenger Teiru Kinoshita (25-1-1, 8) [位帝里 木下], who happens to be the mandatory challenger for the title. On paper the bout looks brilliant, both men having more than 20 wins, a single loss and a single draw. In fact on paper it looks close to a 50-50 fight, with Ancajas having a slight edge in terms of experience and the edge in power. Sadly despite looking like a great match up on ppaer the Japanese challenger is regarded a clear under-dog with the bookies, who have strongly favoured the Filipino champion.
The champion has been priced at 1/14 to retain the title and make his second defense of the belt, and make the most of his opportunity to impress a global audience. As Kinoshita, who is having his second wold title shot, he's priced around 8/1 by most bookies, with one going as far as to make him an 11/1 under-dog. For backers interested in the draw the odds on that are 28/1 or 25/1 defending on the specific bookie.
With Ancajas such a big favourite to win there islikely to be more interested in the "Method of victory" market. Here we see Ancajas priced at 3/10 to stop Kinoshita, who has never been stopped before and went the distance with Zolani Tete. A decision win for Ancajas is 10/3, which looks like one of the value bets for the fight. Kinoshita to score a decision has been priced at 25/1 whilst the Japanese fighter scoring a stoppage is 16/1. Presumably the odds on a Kinoshita stoppage have been driven down by the fact he has stopped 5 of his last 6, though he is yet to score a single stoppage of any note.
The over-under here has been set at 7.5 rounds by a number of bookmakers, who have priced the over at 5/6 whilst the under can be got at 13/10.
For the bout to go the distance we've seen odds of 11/4 whiklst the bout not going the scheduled 12 rounds is 1/4.
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