This coming weekend may not be one of the most high profile weekends in the sport this year, but it does look likely to be an action packed one with a lot of notable fights, several which feature Asian fighters. One of those bouts comes from the UK where former world title challenger Hisashi Amagasa (30-5-2, 20) [天笠 尚] takes faces the hugely popular Josh Warrington (22-0, 4). The bout will be the second most notable for Amagasa, behind his world title bout against Guillermo Rigondeaux, and could potentially thrust the winner into a world title bout.
At the bookies in the UK Warrington has been made the clear betting favourite, priced at around 9/50 to win the bout. Those odds making him a favourite that will be hard to back, but looks like a safe bet. Amagasa on the other hand is widely available at 4/1 with some bookies offering as high as 5/1, great odds if you like the under-dog. As for the draw that's about 28/1.
The bout, due to it's location and profile, has more than just the “To Win” market available on it, with one of those other markets being the “Method of Victory” market. The favoured outcome is Warrington by decision or technical decision, which is around 4/6 with some bookies, and is in fairness the most likely outcome given his lack of power and Amagasa's toughness and heart. Warrington by stoppage is available at 11/4, an unlikely outcome given he has stopped just 4 of his last 22 opponents. For Amagasa the most likely outcome is stoppage win, priced at 9/1, whilst the Japanese fighter winning a decision is available at 14/1.
For those anticipating a stoppage the odds of the bout not going the distance are 15/8 whilst the bout completing the 12 rounds is 1/2. Incidentally the over/under has been set at 9.5 rounds with the over being priced at 1/4 whilst the under is 11/4.
We'll be honest and say that whilst we do thing Warrington should be the favourite, this is a bout where the under-dog is live and knows there is little real pressure on him. It's a bout at his ideal weight and in all honesty he's actually the more proven fighter, with a win against former world champion Ryol Li Lee being the best win that either man has, whilst wins against Takuya Watanabe and Ryo Takenaka are around the same level as Warrington's best wins, over the likes of an old Rendall Munroe, a clumsy Joel Brunker and an inactive Martin Lindsay.
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